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The Week Ahead In The Global Financial Markets

From the desk of Joe Rios

As expected the major benchmarks traded in a tight range for most of last week. The S&P 500 inched higher  0.6% while the US Treasury 10 Year Note and the US Dollar ended the week where it started with no change 0.0%. The absence of key economic data and a tight trading range helped to create a mixed and conflict market sentiment readings, more than in the previous weeks.

However the Commodities did provide trading opportunities with Wheat gaining 8.7%  and Corn 3.9%. Shorting opportunities were also present with Natural Gas dropping -10.1% and Crude Oil -3.8%. In the week ahead the economic calendar should provide more opportunities with US inflation data, Fed news and potential market moving data, statement and speeches from Asia and Europe. I will be looking for a breakdown or breakout from last week’s trading range in the major benchmarks for trade set ups.  I will also focus in the commodity sector for trading opportunities including the Grain, Energy and Metal markets. I will also pay attention to the correlation between the US Treasury 10 Year Note, Gold and Foreign Currencies.

Joe Rios

Chief Strategist, Rios Quantitative LLC

Relative perf 11-10

Relative performance from Monday the 10th to Friday November 14th 2014.


 

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Monday

9:00 AM               EUR        ECB president Draghi speaks

7:30 PM                AUD       Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes

 

Tuesday

3:25 AM               AUD       RBA Gov. Stevens speaks

4:30 AM               GBP       CPI

5:00 AM               EUR        German ZEW Economic Sentiment

8:30 AM               USD       PPI

Tentative             JPY         Monetary Policy Statement and BOJ Press Conference

 

Wednesday

4:30 AM               GBP       MPC Official Bank Rate Votes

8:30 AM               USD       Building Permits

10:30 AM                             Crude Oil Inventories

2:00 PM                USD       FOMC Meeting Minutes

8:45 PM                CNY        HSBC Flash Manufacturing PMI

 

Thursday

3:00 AM               EUR        French Flash Manufacturing PMI

3:30 AM               EUR        German Flash Manufacturing PMI

4:30 AM               GBP       Retail Sales

8:30 AM               USD       Core CPI and Unemployment Claims

8:30 AM               CAD       Wholesale Sales

10:00 AM             USD       Philly Fed Manufacturing Index

10:30 AM                             Natural Gas Storage

 

Friday

3:00 AM               EUR        ECB President Draghi speaks

8:30 AM               CAD       Core CPI

 

THERE IS A SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING COMMODITY  FUTURES, OPTIONS, AND FOREIGN EXCHANGE PRODUCTS.  PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.