From the desk of Joe Rios
As expected the major benchmarks traded in a tight range for most of last week. The S&P 500 inched higher 0.6% while the US Treasury 10 Year Note and the US Dollar ended the week where it started with no change 0.0%. The absence of key economic data and a tight trading range helped to create a mixed and conflict market sentiment readings, more than in the previous weeks.
However the Commodities did provide trading opportunities with Wheat gaining 8.7% and Corn 3.9%. Shorting opportunities were also present with Natural Gas dropping -10.1% and Crude Oil -3.8%. In the week ahead the economic calendar should provide more opportunities with US inflation data, Fed news and potential market moving data, statement and speeches from Asia and Europe. I will be looking for a breakdown or breakout from last week’s trading range in the major benchmarks for trade set ups. I will also focus in the commodity sector for trading opportunities including the Grain, Energy and Metal markets. I will also pay attention to the correlation between the US Treasury 10 Year Note, Gold and Foreign Currencies.
Joe Rios
Chief Strategist, Rios Quantitative LLC
Relative performance from Monday the 10th to Friday November 14th 2014.
Live Trading Rooms and Events: The Trading Room TradeLAB
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Monday through Friday beginning at 7:30 AM ET
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Monday
9:00 AM EUR ECB president Draghi speaks
7:30 PM AUD Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
Tuesday
3:25 AM AUD RBA Gov. Stevens speaks
4:30 AM GBP CPI
5:00 AM EUR German ZEW Economic Sentiment
8:30 AM USD PPI
Tentative JPY Monetary Policy Statement and BOJ Press Conference
Wednesday
4:30 AM GBP MPC Official Bank Rate Votes
8:30 AM USD Building Permits
10:30 AM Crude Oil Inventories
2:00 PM USD FOMC Meeting Minutes
8:45 PM CNY HSBC Flash Manufacturing PMI
Thursday
3:00 AM EUR French Flash Manufacturing PMI
3:30 AM EUR German Flash Manufacturing PMI
4:30 AM GBP Retail Sales
8:30 AM USD Core CPI and Unemployment Claims
8:30 AM CAD Wholesale Sales
10:00 AM USD Philly Fed Manufacturing Index
10:30 AM Natural Gas Storage
Friday
3:00 AM EUR ECB President Draghi speaks
8:30 AM CAD Core CPI